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In this paper we find empirical evidence of bank lending channel for Colombia, using a balanced panel data of about four thousand non-financial firms. We find that increases in the interest rate, proxiing for the monetary policy instrument, lead to a reduction in the proportion of bank loans, out…
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This paper tests the importance of the financial structure of banks in the bank lending channel of monetary policy transmission in Colombia, using an unbalanced panel of 51 banks for the period of 1996:4-2014:8. We find that an increase in the interbank rate (proxy of the intervention rate) has a…
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We study the existence of a monetary policy transmission mechanism through banks in Colombia, using monthly banks’ balance sheet data for the period 1996:4 – 2012:12. We obtain results which are consistent with the basic postulates of the bank lending channel (and the risk-taking channel)…
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The Board of Directors of the Central Bank of Colombia, in today’s meeting, approved the Bank's 2017 financial statements. Both the Auditor General to the Bank and the external audit firm Deloitte issued their opinion on said statements without any observations. Additionally, the Office of the…
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In this paper, we study the empirical relationship between credit funding sources and the financial vulnerability of the Colombian banking system. We propose a statistical model to measure and predict banking fragility episodes associated with credit funding sources classified into retail deposits…
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In this paper, we study the empirical relationship between credit funding sources and the financial vulnerability of the Colombian banking system. We propose a statistical model to measure and predict banking-fragility episodes associated with credit funding sources classified into retail deposits…
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In this paper we analyze the effects of financial constraints on the exchange rate through the portfolio balance channel. Our contribution is twofold: First, we construct a tractable two-period general equilibrium model in which financial constraints inhibit capital flows. Hence, departures from…
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This paper examines trends in banknote printing during the period 2000-2005 for a crosssection of 56 central banks. It was identified that central banks have implemented new strategies to increase efficiency in the production of banknotes, primarily due to the increase in the demand for currency in…
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The central bank issues the country’s currency in the form of banknotes and coins. This is an exclusive function that may not be delegated. Consequently, the production, issue, supply and destruction of all Colombian currency is solely the responsibility of Banco de la República.
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In complex systems, homogeneity (i.e. lack of diversity) has been documented as a source of fragility. Likewise, financial sector’s homogeneity has been documented as a contributing factor for systemic risk. We assess homogeneity in the Colombian case by measuring how similar banks are regarding…
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The opinions contained in this document are the sole responsibility of the author and do not commit Banco de la República or its Board of Directors.
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A recent document of the journal Ensayos sobre Política Económica (ESPE) from Banco de la República (the Central Bank of Colombia) contains the results of multiple analyses of the effect of the minimum wage on the labor market, income distribution, public finances, prices, and the economic activity…
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General Objective“BanRep desde el lente” is a contest of videos that promotes research on high school students. It aims to instill in young people passion for understanding what happens in the economy and how it is related to their lives. Technology, and social networks are used as learning tools…
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Complete tittle: The Banco de la Republica Leaves the Benchmark Interest Rate Unaltered and Continues he International Reserve Purchase ProgramIn their meeting today, the Board of Directors of the Banco de la Republica decided to leave the benchmark interest rate at 3.25%. In making this decision,…
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In March, annual headline inflation reached 7.4%, completing 12 months of consecutive declines from its March 2023 peak of 13.3%. Likewise, inflation excluding food and regulated items significantly decreased and stood at 6.8% in March. The reduction in annual inflation was largely driven by…
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Annual headline inflation continued its downward trend during February, standing at 7.7% and exhibiting a cumulative drop of 1.5 percentage points (pp) during the first two months of the year. Likewise, annual inflation, excluding food and regulated items, had a 1.2 pp drop which, coupled with a…
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Annual consumer price inflation decreased in May for the second consecutive month to 12.4%, fronted by a reduction in the annual food price inflation rate from 27.8% in December 2022 to 15.7% in May 2023. In contrast, increases were observed in the inflation of regulated items resulting from…
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In its policy discussion, the Board considered the following elements:
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By December, annual inflation had dropped for the ninth consecutive month and closed the year at 9.28%, in line with the technical staff’s December projection. Food and goods (excluding food and regulated items) fronted the inflationary decline, standing at 5% and 7.1% by yearend, respectively.…
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Recent months have seen a much larger influx of funds into the Colombian stock market. For example, pension fund mangers (PFM) added Col$5.84 trillion (t) to their stock market investments between 2002 and 2006 (Financial Market Superintendent, 2007), and foreign portfolio investments (short and…
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Typically, central banks use a variety of individual models (or a combination of models) when forecasting inflation rates. Most of these require excessive amounts of data, time, and computational power; all of which are scarce when monetary authorities meet to decide over policy interventions. In…
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Typically, when forecasting inflation rates, there are a variety of individual models and a combination of several of these models. We implement a Bayesian shrinkage combination methodology to include information that is not captured by the individual models using expert forecasts as prior…
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An application of Bayesian Model Averaging, BMA, is implemented to construct combined forecasts for the colombian inflation for the short and medium run. A model selection algorithm is applied over a set of linear models with a large dataset of potencial predictors using marginal as well as…
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Bayesian Model Estimation and Selection for the Colombian Exchange Rate Bayesian Model Estimation and Selection for the Colombian Exchange Rate Norberto Rodríguez Niño */
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