Regional Economic Pulse - Third Quarter of 2025

Keep in mind

The Regional Economic Pulse indicators and their report are constructed based on surveys to businesspeople and executives who are asked about their perception of the dynamics of their economic activity in the annual comparison and on available statistical information. It is prepared by the Regional Economies Section of the Technical and Economic Information Department of Banco de la República (the Central Bank of Colombia). The content is solely the responsibility of the authors and does not commit Banco de la República or its Board of Directors.

During the third quarter of 2025, all regional economies likely recorded annual growth. Antioquia remained the most dynamic, surpassing its performance in the previous quarter. Bogotá and the Southwest, Northeast, and Central Coffee regions ostensibly accelerated their growth rates driven by trade and industry. 

Publication Date:
Thursday, 13 November 2025

The Regional Economic Pulse (Pulso Económico Regional, PER in Spanish) indicator suggested that the national economy experienced annual growth during the third quarter of 2025 (Graph 1). This aggregate result could be attributed to the positive performance of all regional economies, with Antioquia standing out for a higher annual variation than the rest of the country, which would have exceeded the increase observed in the second quarter (Graph 2).

Graph 1. National Consolidated Economic Pulse
The graph shows the evolution of the indicator from September 2022 to September 2025. The vertical axis shows the level of the economic pulse, with values ranging from -0.30 to 0.30. The horizontal axis shows dates in quarterly intervals. The indicator fluctuates between -1 and 1. Values below 0 indicate a negative annual change, and values above 0 indicate a positive annual change (these are not percentage changes). The line starts at a positive level close to 0.10 in September 2022, declines to a minimum of approximately -0.15 in September 2023, and then gradually rises with small fluctuations, reaching around 0.20 in September 2025.
Source: Banco de la República

Most regions exhibited stronger increases than in the previous quarter. In the case of Antioquia, growth could be linked to the dynamism of domestic consumption, which would have driven progress in all monitored activities, according to the perceptions of the region’s business leaders. This same consumption-driven momentum likely supported the performance of the Southwest, the Northeast, the Central Coffee Region, and Bogotá, reflected in higher domestic trade sales, an increase in industrial production, and greater credit disbursements. Meanwhile, the indicator for the Caribbean region remained positive, explained by the performance of trade and manufacturing, despite a decline in agricultural activity caused by phytosanitary issues that affected some crops. In contrast, the Llanos Orientales seemingly recorded the lowest growth due to the impact of the rainy season on agricultural and industrial output, in addition to the rice growers’ strike in July and the closure of the road to the Llanos caused by landslides.

Graph 2. Regional Economic Pulse by Region 
The graph compares the economic performance of different regions (Llanos Orientales, Caribbean, Central Coffee Region, Northeast, Southwest, Bogotá, Antioquia, and national total) between the second and third quarters of 2025. The vertical axis represents the indicator for the second quarter of 2025, while the horizontal axis represents the indicator for the third quarter of 2025. A dotted diagonal line divides the graph: points to the right of the line indicate an improvement in the economic indicator, while points to the left suggest deterioration. Antioquia is the only region that clearly shows improvement, while all the others are located near or below the diagonal line.
Source: Banco de la República

By economic activity, trade recorded the highest growth (Graph 3). Sales would have been driven by promotional campaigns, greater access to credit, and the dynamism of domestic tourism, according to the perceptions gathered. Among product categories, durable goods such as technology, home appliances, vehicles, and motorcycles would have registered the highest increases, along with clothing. In turn, the hotel industry would have shown an increase associated with events held, although its pace would remain moderate due to users' preference for alternative accommodation options. Industry maintained its upward trend supported by the increase in demand, the acquisition of new clients, and operational improvements. Results for manufacturing of food, chemicals, and motorcycles stood out. In the agricultural sector, production likely increased thanks to favorable weather conditions across several regions. Finally, new housing sales have seemingly grown, stimulated by the availability of local subsidies and the reduction in interest rates.

Graph 3. Regional Economic Pulse by National Aggregates
The graph compares the performance of different economic sectors between the second and the third quarters of 2025. The vertical axis represents the indicator for the second quarter of 2025, and the horizontal axis represents the indicator for the third quarter of 2025. A dotted diagonal line divides the graph: points to the right indicate an improvement in the indicator, and points to the left suggest deterioration. Each point represents an economic sector: Trade is located in the upper right, indicating a significant improvement. Housing is slightly above the diagonal line, which suggests a slight improvement. Agriculture is located just below the diagonal line, indicating a slight deterioration. Industry and Finance are close to the center of the graph, showing stability. Transportation is in the lower left section, clearly reflecting deterioration. The national total is located near the center of the graph.
Source: Banco de la República