Inflation has fallen significantly, from 9.3% in 2023 to 5.2% in 2024. During this year and into the next, inflation would continue to decline towards the inflation target.
Bogotá, Colombia
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- Publicación |Estimates indicate a positive relationship between the duration of drought periods and the total credit granted and the number of beneficiaries at the municipal level. This relationship holds for credits whose debtors report high levels of assets or have the backing of a public guarantee fund.
- Publicación |Banco de la República (the Central Bank of Colombia) implemented pilot surveys and, in 2023, conducted a nationally representative survey of the adult population. This revealed important data, such as that 95% of Colombians have heard of the Bank, but only 44.6% identify it as responsible for…
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This paper studies the dynamics of farm size distribution, how they are in uenced by weather shocks, and the implications for aggregate productivity. Using data from several developing countries, we first document new empirical facts about households' …
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Global economy proved resilient during the period analyzed, although with some differences among major economies.
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The government bonds market in Colombia incorporates relevant information for the analysis of expectations regarding inflation, MPR, and economic growth. Therefore, the dynamics of these interest rates are an essential input for monetary policy decisions.
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Inflation expectations are a key factor in monetary policy decision-making. First, as crucial inputs for wage and price setting, they offer an estimation of the future direction of inflation. Second, they allow assessing the credibility of the inflation target set by the central bank (Sousa…
- Publicación |The necessary effort to stabilize inflation is greater when credibility is low, requiring the implementation of stricter policies than usual to achieve the same inflation targets.
- Publicación |Natural disasters affect both the level and volatility of sovereign risk premiums in emerging economies, whereas stock market only experience changes in volatility.
- Publicación |“… the costs of informality are higher: workers have limited social protection, businesses are less productive, and the state has reduced capacity to collect taxes and provide public goods. This leads to inefficient allocation of resources, which negatively impacts the country's economic growth.”
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Given the increase in the working-age population, the employment-to-population rate (ER) remained stable in the recent period, standing at 57.5% in the last rolling quarter, with a notable difference between urban areas (59%) and other municipalities and rural areas (55.9%).
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Este reporte presenta los resultados de la Encuesta trimestral sobre la situación del crédito en Colombia con corte a diciembre de 2024, en la que participan los establecimientos de crédito (EC) que otorgan préstamos: bancos, compañías de financiamiento (CFC) y cooperativas financieras (…
- Publicación |Access to formal credit has a positive relationship with the growth and formalization of microbusinesses. Those led by women are associated with higher probabilities of formalization and better growth indicators when accessing formal credit, compared to those led by men.
- Publicación |Gender gaps in academic performance limit educational and professional opportunities for women, perpetuating social and economic inequalities. It is crucial to implement inclusive and targeted public policies that reduce these disparities and promote greater opportunities for women in the future.
- Publicación |The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on mental health underscores the need for early intervention strategies, especially for vulnerable groups such as young people, the elderly, and women, to mitigate the increase in mental and behavioral disorders in Colombia.
- Publicación |Abstract
We estimate the effects of annual temperature and precipitation on rice yields in Colombia from 1987 to 2016. The analysis explores the degree of variation in response to climate changes across the country’s diverse topography. Since there are two growing seasons in…
- Publicación |A 1% decrease in payroll costs would increase employment in the formal sector by between 0.5% and 0.9%. This implication is specific to the Colombian context, where the minimum wage is binding for a large portion of formal sector workers, making it likely that formal labor demand drives these…
- Publicación |Climate shocks negatively affect productivity. This is due to the health problems they cause and the damage to road infrastructure, aspects that ultimately affect the economy in general and firms in particular.
- Publicación |Nowcasting inflation is not only considered an alternative measure of observed inflation, but also a predictor, which allows for constructing inflation forecasts with better performance
- Publicación |The findings show that the output gap in Colombia fell by 20% in the second quarter of 2020 due to the pandemic, but it recovered quickly, unlike previous crises.
