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Abstract: We develop a novel firm-level credit condition sentiment index using Natural Language Processing (NLP) techniques and earnings calls. We first document that our credit condition sentiment index is a sensible measure by demonstrating it is positively correlated with the commonly used firm-…
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Abstract: We measure the inflation-unemployment tradeoff associated with monetary easing and tightening, during booms and recessions, using a novel nonlinear Proxy-SVAR approach. We find evidence of significant nonlinearities for the U.S. economy (1973:M1 - 2019:M6): stimulating economic activity…
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Abstract: La reconfiguración de las cadenas globales de valor ha impulsado estrategias de relocalización buscando una mayor resiliencia a cambios en el entorno internacional pese a sus inherentes desafíos en términos de costos y competitividad. Este estudio evalúa los potenciales beneficios…
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Abstract: We show that a suitable extension of the neoclassical growth model to include endogenous fertility can account for four robust patterns in international data: (i) population size is strongly positively correlated with effective land; (ii) per capita income is largely uncorrelated with…
Martino Pelli: is an Associate Professor and the Chair of the Department of Economics at the Université de Sherbrooke, a Research Fellow at CIREQ and the Lead Researcher in Sustainable Development at CIRANO. His areas of expertise are Development Economics and Resource and Environmental Economics…
Abstract: The proliferation of automation, fueled by advancements in artificial intelligence (AI), including Generative AI (GAI), is revolutionizing various sectors by optimizing workflows, enhancing profitability, and minimizing repetitive tasks performed by workers. While this revolution…
Joana Silva: a Senior Economist at the Office of the Chief Economist for Latin America and the Caribbean at the World Bank.
Abstract: Concerns about ownership consolidation and sectoral reallocation resulting from the privatization and trade of water are predominant barriers that inhibit the adoption of water markets. However, systematic empirical evaluation of these processes is lacking.  We study trends in…
Abstract: This paper investigates whether the trade effects of environmental non-tariff measures (NTMs) differ across industries, with a focus on agriculture. We hypothesize that sectoral heterogeneity matters, as agriculture’s distinctive policy framework and trade structure may lead to…
Abstract: The resurgence of subsidies and industrial policies has raised concerns about their potential inefficiency and alignment with multilateral principles. Critics warn that such policies may divert resources to less efficient firms and provoke retaliatory measures from other countries,…