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The opinions contained in this document are the sole responsibility of the author and do not commit Banco de la República or its Board of Directors.  
On 9 November 2016 Banco de la República started circulating the new $5 thousand-peso banknote, the fourth of the new family of banknotes, which will circulate simultaneously with the current one. Its predominant color is brown. The obverse features the image of the poet José Asunción Silva, a Puya…
This paper presents a novel monthly dataset of job vacancies in Bogota between 1960 and 2010. The dataset was constructed by counting the number of help-wanted announcements published in the most important newspaper with national circulation—namely, El Tiempo. We describe the methodology used to…
The scarlet macaw, the frailejón, and the spectacled bear are the three representative species of the Colombian biodiversity that will be present in the obverse (heads) of the new COP$200, COP$100, and COP$50 coins, which Banco de la República (the Central Bank of Colombia) will start circulating…
On 19 August 2016, Banco de la República started circulating the new 50 thousand peso banknote, the third of the new family of banknotes. This banknote will circulate simultaneously with the current ones. The obverse shows the image of Gabriel Garcia Marquez, the Nobel Laureate in Literature (…
A crystal frog, an inhabitant of the Andean foothills (one of the most biologically rich areas in Colombia), will be the image in the obverse (heads) of the new COP$500 bi-metallic coin, which Banco de la República (the Central Bank of Colombia) will start circulating as of the second half of 2012…
The Center for Regional Economic Studies (CEER) was Banco de la República’s first effort to decentralize economic research, which had been concentrated at the head office in Bogotá. This first regional center was established in 1997 at the Cartagena branch of the Bank. Initially, it was known as…
  A central bank is the institution that issues and administrates legal currency and exercises the function of banker of banks. Furthermore, it controls the country’s monetary system (currency), credit system (interest rates) and foreign exchange system (foreign exchange rates). Its principal…
Abstract This study characterizes the microstructure of the spot and forward peso-dollar exchange markets in Colombia, with the objective of studying the main dynamics and interactions of all the sectors which are participating in these markets. Additionally, it seeks to identify the economic…
The most recent global financial crisis (2008-2009) highlighted the importance of systemic risk and promoted academic interest to develop a wide set of warning indicators, which are mechanisms to identify systemically important institutions and global systemic risk indexes. Using the methodology…
The opinions contained in this document are the sole responsibility of the author and do not commit Banco de la República or its Board of Directors.  
This paper provides evidence of short-run predictability for the real exchange rate by performing out-of-sample tests of a forecasting equation which is derived from a consumption-based asset pricing model. In this model, the real exchange rate is predictable as a result of the implications of…
As per the Code of Administrative Procedure and Administrative Litigation, specifically Article 8, Section 8, a circular was released today for comments on the amendments made to External Regulatory Circular DCIN-83 following implementation of the new Foreign Exchange Information System. To access…
We use a dynamic factor model proposed by Stock and Watson [1998, 1999, 2002a,b] to forecast Colombian inflation. The model includes 92 monthly series observed over the period 1999:01-2008:06. The results show that for short-run horizons, factor model forecasts significantly outperformed the auto-…
This paper discusses alternative approaches to estimate models of behavior of mortgage debtors. Specifically, the focus is on the understanding of default decisions. The goal is the development of empirical techniques that yield estimates of the structural parameters of the model that generates…
Abstract Fiscal sustainability in five of the largest Latin American economies is examined before and after the COVID-19 pandemic. For this purpose, the DSGE model in Bi (2012) and Hürtgen (2020) is used to estimate the Fiscal Limits and Fiscal Spaces for Peru, Chile, Mexico,…
This paper explores the relationship between central bank independence and inflation in Latin America, using as a case study the experience of Colombia (1923-2008). Since its creation, in 1923, Colombia’s central bank has undergone several reforms that have changed its objectives and degree of…
In this paper, we propose a methodology for calculating a leading index of the economic activity based on a modification of Stock and Watson’s (1989, 1991, 1992) approach. We use Kalman filter techniques for estimating the state space representation of the leading index model. The methodology is…
This paper presents the construction of a tailor-made Macro Computable General Equilibrium Model for the Colombian economy that satisfies Banco de la República's macroeconomic programming and forecasting interests. Using information on the national accounts divulged by the National Statistics…
According to traditional literature, liquidity risk in individual banks can turn into a system-wide financial crisis when either interbank credit exposures or bank runs are present. This paper shows that this phenomenon can also arise when individual liquidity risk trans- forms into system-wide…
This document presents a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model with rule of thumb (Non-Ricardian) agents and both nominal price and wage rigidities. The model follows closely that of Galí et al. (2004) and expands it to include a second way form of heterogeneity (besides the Non-Ricardian…
A Model of the Nominal and Real Exchange in Colombia A Model of the Nominal and Real Exchange in Colombia   Javier Gómez*
CULTURAL SERVICES   Banco de la República opens its new Cultural Center to the community of San Andres, Providencia, and Santa Catalina. Its services and products are the result of joint work among professionals from the Central Bank, local researchers, and the community of the island.…
Participation notes for the seminar entitled “From the Breakdown of the Bretton Woods System to a New Era of Macro Prudential Oversight”. Cuzco, Peru.