Publications

The analysis of credit institutions between August 2016 and February 2017 showed  a  lower  real  growth  of  the  loan  portfolio,  mainly  explained  by commercial loan-portfolio dynamics. The quality and non-performing loan indexes…

This paper proposes new monthly estimates for the non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment (NAIRU) and the output gap for Colombia. These rely on a New Keynesian small open economy model following González et al (2013), augmented by an Okun’s Law equation. The resulting output gap closely…

Macroprudential policy in Colombia is described along with a discussion of the main challenges faced by the authorities in implementing it and a review of episodes in which macroprudential measures were taken. An overview and some estimates of their effectiveness in preventing the buildup of…

This paper explores the behavior of Colombia labour market flows. We focus on job creation and job destruction from the plant´s perspective, and on hiring and separations from the worker´s point of view. We show how these labour flows change across different dimensions such as, firm’s size,…

The international financial crisis of 2007-2009 strongly affected asset prices, risk and growth in the advanced economies, leading to large capital movements between these economies and the emerging countries. The capital movements were reflected in sharp fluctuations in the emerging countries’…

During the first semester of the year, a weak global demand, a fall of export prices in some countries and a low investment dynamic led to reduced growth forecasts for most Latin American and the Caribbean economies. In contrast, the Colombian economy shows signs of soundness, and growth in 2014…

During the second semester of 2013, the international environment was characterized by the gradual recovery in the Eurozone and the U.S. economy, as well as by an upturn in the Chinese economy. Although overall uncertainty regarding the moderation of the United States monetary policy impacted…

Presentation titled "How does macroprudential regulation change bank credit supply?", delivered during the Seminar of the EEP Journal (Essays on Economic Policy), organized by Banco de la República at the Events Center of Biblioteca Luis Ángel Arango in Bogotá, Colombia.

This paper contributes to the theoretical analysis of the informal sector in the search and matching framework. Building upon the work of Albrecht et al. (2009), where the informal sector consists of unregulated self-employment, I describe the search and matching equilibrium in an economy with…

In 2011, the international economic environment was characterized by a high degree of uncertainty brought about by the problems of public or private debt in many of the industrialized countries. The financial conditions in the euro zone deteriorated significantly in the last quarter of the year…

The recent financial crisis has renewed the interest of economists, both at the theoretical and empirical level, in developing a better understanding of credit and its mechanisms. A rapidly growing strand of the literature views banks as facing funding restrictions that…

In order to quantify consumer preferences for making payments with cash, checks, and bank cards as well as their acceptance by merchants, the Financial Infrastructure Oversight Department (DSIF) of Banco de la República (the Central Bank of Colombia) designed a set of questions to quantify the…

Is the failure of natural resource abundance to achieve better economic outcomes due to limited nancial development or scal policy short-termism? I answer this question in a precautionary savings model where both resource revenues and asset returns are uncertain. Calibrating for Colombia, I …

The aim of this report is to present the Bank’s appreciation of the development of the financial system and implications for its stability. Furthermore, it is hoped that this publication will create a space for stimulating discussion of themes related to the development and long-term stability…

In this document we develop a DSGE model to analyze the eect that a consumption boom and a productivity shock have over nancial stability and macroeconomic variables, in both, an economy with and without Basel III capital requirements and earnings reinvestment rule. The results suggest that…

The aim of this report is to present the Bank’s appreciation of the development of the financial system and implications for its stability. Furthermore, it is hoped that this publication will create a space for stimulating discussion of themes related to the development and long-term stability…

The aim of this report is to present the Bank’s appreciation of the development of the financial system and implications for its stability. Furthermore, it is hoped that this publication will create a space for stimulating discussion of themes related to the development and long-term stability…