Since the end of 2021, the growth of inflationary pressure brought about by a combination of supply and demand factors has generated a scenario of tightening international financial conditions in an environment of normalization of monetary policy interest rates and a new cycle of dollar…
Bogotá, Colombia
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The Bank is celebrating its 100th anniversary since its foundation and the trajectory that has established it as the one independent state institution that generates the greatest confidence among Colombians due to its transparency, management capabilities, and effective compliance with…
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Over the last year and a half, the world has faced a major setback in the low and stable inflation behavior that had been observed for several years. The price increases that have occurred since 2021 have taken place in a context of increases in aggregate demand resulting from the economic…
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The minimum wage (MW) is one of the most widely used public policies in almost all the countries. Included among its objectives are the protection of workers against unduly low wages and to contribute to the reduction of poverty and inequality. However, there has been evidence of the adverse…
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I am very pleased to welcome you to Bogotá and to this 24th meeting of the Regional Financial Stability Group , which has been organized on this opportunity by Banco de la República (the Central Bank of Colombia) together with the Central American Monetary Council .We are honored to host…
- Publicación |Este documento caracteriza la inversión extranjera directa en Colombia en los sectores distintos a la explotación petrolera y de minas y canteras, así como de las empresas receptoras de este tipo de inversión.
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Assessing the effects of U.S. monetary policies on portfolio flows is important for policymakers as they could pose risks to the effectiveness of domestic monetary policy. This paper analyzes the effects of the Global Financial Cycle (GFC) and Federal Reserve (Fed) unconventional…
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The development of methodologies that enable the diagnosis of the current state and trend of economic activity is particularly important to improve the decision-making process in economic policy. This paper proposes a new weekly indicator of economic activity for Colombia, covering the…
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The objective of the study is to evaluate the main determinants of the Colombian gross portfolio inflows and outflows from non-resident and resident investors and to study the role of the interest rate of the domestic monetary policy. The conceptual framework is the standard portfolio…
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The Global Financial Cycle (GFC) is a common movement of financial variables transmitted to emerging economies through various channels. During periods of GFC expansion, emerging economies tend to exhibit higher capital inflows, increased asset prices, and better conditions for accessing…
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In September, headline inflation (11.4% annually) and the average of core inflation indicators (8.6% annually) continued on a rising trend, and higher increases than expected were recorded. Forecasts increased again, and inflation expectations remained above 3…
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Assessing the composition of sovereign debt holders is important because investors’ behavior varies according to distinctive components, including shareholders’ preferences, regulatory constraints, and profitability mandates. To study this issue, we examine the determinants of…
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Behavioral Equilibrium Exchange Rate (BEER) models suggest many variables as potential drivers of equilibrium real exchange rates (ERER). This gives rise to model uncertainty issues, as ERER depends and varies, often drastically, on a particular set of chosen variables. We address this…
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Price dispersion is a prevalent feature even of markets where, arguably, homogeneous good are traded. At the heart of the causes of price dispersion lie the firms’ strategic interactions with their customers and rivals. Consumers’ eagerness and ability to search for lower prices tends…
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This paper estimates the effect of financial development on the transmission of monetary policy. To do so, the paper employs a panel data set containing financial development indicators, policy rates, lending rates, and deposit rates for 43 countries for the period 2000-2019 and…
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Colombia is particularly affected by the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) weather fluctuations. In this context, this study explores how the adverse weather events linked to ENSO affect the inflation expectations in Colombia and how to incorporate these second-round effects into a…
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We introduce a methodology for generating alerts of potential anti-competitive practices in the Colombian wholesale electricity market.
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Using a computable general equilibrium model calibrated for 2019, shocks of various characteristics to the minimum wage are simulated to establish the effects on the nation's fiscal accounts. This document is a pioneer in that analysis. The evidence suggests adverse effects of…
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The objectives of the study are, first, to build homogeneous and consistent series of macroeconomic savings and investment and their balances for the economy and institutional sectors of Colombia for the period 1975-2021. Second, describe the economic context in which they were observed…
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This study analyzes the expected effects of climate change on Colombia’s current account. To this end, we present a literature review that outlines how climate-related risks could impact the balance of payments, complemented with an analysis that illustrates how the 2014-2015 oil shock…
