Documento de trabajo

This document analyzes the evolution of the main labor market indicators and poverty indicators of Barranquilla between 2008 and 2022. On the one hand, it seeks to understand the evolution of employment generation and labor income during the last decade, and on…

International and national literature provides evidence indicating that investment in infrastructure is one of the key elements to achieve economic and social development.

This paper evaluates the fiscal and macroeconomic effects of some risks faced by the health system. These comprise changes in demographic and morbidity patterns, new medical technologies, inefficiencies in the system and the structure of the labor market. These…

Asymmetric decentralization has become relevant in developing countries like Colombia, where capabilities between subnational governments differ dramatically. Although these discussions have been present since the 1960s, the success of decentralization is…

This study follows a novel approach proposed by Angelico et al. (2022) using Twitter to measure inflation perception in Colombia in real time. By applying machine learning techniques, we implement two real-time indicators of inflation perception and show …

The countries of the Caribbean Basin have a tradition in coffee production since the grain entered America through this area in the 18th century. Although the region lost importance in the international coffee market in the 20th century, the crop maintains its significance in…

The objective of this study is to describe the main fiscal indicators of Barranquilla during the period 2000–2021, as well as explore the possible factors that could be behind the observed behavior. We compare the evolution of the main fiscal variables of the district with…

This study follows a novel approach proposed by Angelico et al. (2022) using Twitter to measure inflation perception in Colombia in real time. By applying machine learning techniques, we implement two real-time indicators of inflation perception and show…

This document presents a Gaussian Affine Term Structure Model (GATSM) of the zero-coupon public debt curve issued locally by the Colombian Government, adopting the methodological approach of Hamilton and Wu (2012) to solve the problems of identification and instability in the…

Although greenhouse gas emissions from the Latin America (LAC) region are not particularly significant, climate change is a worldwide challenge. Hence, we analyze the main factors that increase and mitigate emissions in LAC countries by emphasising the importance of preserving and…

Our study analyzes the impact of debt moratorium policies, possibly the oldest approach to addressing repayment problems. Using Colombian administrative data, we compare firms that narrowly met the criteria for moratoria (eligible firms could not exceed 60 days overdue…

This study aims to establish a comprehensive linkage between CO2 emissions and the composition of energy sources, economic growth, and reforestation, thereby shedding light on their intricate connections in Colombia over the period 1970-2018. First, we use different types of…

Based on monthly disaggregated Consumer Price Index (CPI) item series and macroeconomic series, we explore the advantages of forecast inflation from a disaggregated to an aggregated level by aggregating the forecasts. We compare the performance of this approach with the forecast…

This paper examines the evolution of women's participation in the labor market from 1960 to 2018, shedding light on the complex factors that influence their labor opportunities. The study  emphasizes the significance of the historical context in  understanding these…

Colombia experienced one of the fastest declines in fertility in the world: children per woman fell from 7 in 1960 to 3 in 1985. Despite the country's significant inequalities, the regional aspect of this decline has been overlooked in previous research. This…

This document reviews the potential macroeconomic effects of issuing a central bank digital currency (CBDC) for the use of individuals and businesses. A careful selection of the architecture, and the economic and technological design aspects of this digital form of central bank money…

This document reviews the potential macroeconomic effects of issuing a central bank digital currency (CBDC) for the use of individuals and businesses. A careful selection of the architecture, and the economic and technological design aspects of this digital form of central bank money…

Local labor markets in Colombia are exceptionally heterogeneous. In particular, the cities of the Caribbean region have higher labor informality and lower unemployment rates, compared to the rest of the country. This work is part of a research agenda on local labor markets in Colombia…