Publications

Palabras de José Darío Uribe, Gerente General del Banco de la República en el 2013 IIF Latin America Economic Forum durante las Reuniones Anuales del Banco Interamericano de Desarrollo en la ciudad de Panama

The recent financial crisis has renewed the interest of economists, both at the theoretical and empirical level, in developing a better understanding of credit and its mechanisms. A rapidly growing strand of the literature views banks as facing funding restrictions that condition their borrowing…

In this paper I explore the potential link between Plan Colombia and violence with a new perspective. I focus the analysis only on the first three running years of the program (2000-2002) in order to avoid the overlapping effect with a security policy started in 2002/2003. This paper exploits…

Since correlation may be interpreted as a measure of the influence across time-series, it may be conveniently mapped into a distance and into a weighted adjacency matrix. Based on such matrix, network theory has attempted to filter out the noise in correlation matrices by extracting the dominant…

The adoption of a managed regime assumes that interventions are relatively successful. However, while some authors consider that foreign exchange interventions are ineffective, arguing that domestic and foreign assets are close substitutes, others advocate their use and maintain that their…

Presentation by the Governor of the Banco de la República of Colombia, José Darío Uribe at the XCV Meeting of Governors of Central Banks of CEMLA for the Session: “Normalization of Monetary Policy in Industrialized Economies and the Possible Effects on Latin America and the Caribbean”

We study the  existence of a monetary policy transmission mechanism through banks in Colombia, using monthly banks’ balance sheet data for the period 1996:4 – 2012:12. We obtain results which are consistent with the basic postulates of the bank lending channel (and the risk-taking channel)…

A new methodology for testing and dating economic bubbles based on a sign test with recursive median adjustment is presented. The methodology, originally proposed by Soo and Shin (2001) to detect random walks, is well-suited, theoretically, to deal with the many features of high-frequency…

One of the biggest threats to any company is that of becoming insolvent. A threat of this kind to corporate financial stability is of relevance not only to investors and employees but also to financial-sector lenders, auditors and regulators, among others. Hence the importance of a model that…

Research on banking performance and efficiency has advanced greatly in the past three decades, justified by the importance of a properly functioning financial system to the economy in general. In Colombia, too, banks have been the subject of research studies, though as yet to a lesser extent…

The international crisis by the end of the previous decade brought very important changes in terms of degree, size, and volatility of capital flows to emerging markets. These became a challenge for their economic authorities because the negative effects likely to affect macroeconomic variables…

In recent years, different mergers have taken place both in the financial and manufacturing sectors. These processes have raised questions as to the policies implemented with regard to trade offs between profits via efficiency and those related to social costs, given the presence of greater…

The financial system’s response to the various phases of the cycle is characterized by high credit growth during the upswing phase and its rationing during the downswing. This behavior is related to the financial system’s tendency to underestimate the credit risk during the upturn and to…

According to Large (2005)2 , there are at least three things central banks must do to encourage financial stability. They first must assess the threats to the financial system. Secondly, they must monitor stability of the payment system and take actions to reduce any risk on this front. Finally…

Bankruptcy is a threat to financial stability, if a company fails to meet its financial obligations. Obviously, the risk to financial stability increases with the number of liquidated corporations and the size of the debt each has acquired. Moreover, in a scenario characterized by a significant…

Entities and regulators alike are becoming more interested in measuring and the market risk (MR) associated with the trading book1 , given the growing share of investments comprising the financial system’s assets. The Office of the Superintendencia Bancaria (Banking Superintendency)2 in Colombia…

The financial crisis of the late 2000's highlighted the importance of strengthening risk management systems in financial markets. Consequently, an increasing interest in strategies to quantify risk under extreme scenarios has spawned. One of such techniques is CrashMetrics, a methodology for…

This paper propose indicator variables for the implementation of monetary policy in an inflation targeting regime. Using constant interest rate projections, the notion of a target-compatible interest rate is presented. This variable allows to extract some characteristics that the expected future…

We estimate a non-parametrical Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) and find strong evidence rejecting the classical linear CAPM. Furthermore, we find inconsistent linear betas for a series of stocks in the Colombian stock exchange (BVC), supporting the hypothesis of a better and consistent…