Estimating credibility in Colombia's exchange rate target zone Estimating credibility in Colombia´s exchange rate target zone
Bogotá, Colombia
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A Statement of the Colombian Constitutional Court has mandated wage indexation on the basis of past inflation. A simple model with a wage price system, a real block, and an inflation targeting interest rule is calibrated to resemble price setting in the Colombian economy and to analyze the…
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The construction of coincident indexes for the economic activity of a country is a common practice since the fifties. The methodologies vary from heuristic methods to probabilistic or statistical ones. In this paper, we present a new procedure for estimating a coincident index of the state of…
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I build a general equilibrium, financial accelerator model that incorporates an explicit technology for the intermediary sector. A credit multiplier emerges because of a borrowing constraint that is a function of asset prices, internal funds and lending rates. With this financial friction I show…
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The study of the asymmetric behavior of macroeconomic variables over the business cycles phases has had a long tradition in economics. In this work we find evidence in favor of the hypothesis of having a STAR-type nonlinear asymmetric behavior of the economic activity, over the last two decades…
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HOW UNCERTAÍN ARE NAIRU ESTÍMATES ÍN COLOMBÍA? HOW UNCERTAÍN ARE NAIRU ESTÍMATES ÍN COLOMBÍA?
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Transmission mechanisms and inflation targeting: the case of Colombias desinflation
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Bayesian Model Estimation and Selection for the Colombian Exchange Rate Bayesian Model Estimation and Selection for the Colombian Exchange Rate Norberto Rodríguez Niño */
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An Estimation Of the Nonlinear Phillips Curve in Colombia An Estimation Of the Neonlinear Phillips Curve in Colombia Javier Gómez and Juan Manuel Julio */
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TAX EXPORTING: AN ANALYSIS USING A MULTIREGIONAL CGE MODEL Tax Exporting: An Analysis Using a Multiregional CGE Model Ana María Iregui * Estudios Económicos Banco de la República
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In this theoretical report, the identifiability property of a coincident index model is studied. As a result, characterization of the identifiability conditions solves a model specification problem, which was detected in the design of an earlier index for the Colombian economy. Key…
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In a small macroeconomic model of the Colombian economy I investigate the problem of selecting a policy rule that is consistent with inflation targeting. I spell out the characteristics of the optimal feedback and output parameters in the rule, as well as for the optimal forecasting horizon for…