We study the behaviour of three quantitative sample surveys and a non sample inflation expectation report for Colombia. We found that expectations in Colombia; (i) are not strongly, i.e.
E31
A continuación, se listan los contenidos disponibles en el portal relacionados con la consulta.
- Publicación |Abstract
- Publicación |Abstract
This study follows a novel approach proposed by Angelico et al. (2022) using Twitter to measure inflation perception in Colombia in real time. By applying machine learning techniques, we implement two real-time indicators of inflation perception and show …
- Publicación |Abstract
This study follows a novel approach proposed by Angelico et al. (2022) using Twitter to measure inflation perception in Colombia in real time. By applying machine learning techniques, we implement two real-time indicators of inflation perception and show…
- Publicación |Abstract
Based on monthly disaggregated Consumer Price Index (CPI) item series and macroeconomic series, we explore the advantages of forecast inflation from a disaggregated to an aggregated level by aggregating the forecasts. We compare the performance of this approach with the forecast…
- Publicación |Abstract
We provide an overview of the primary structural features of the labor market in Colombia and survey the margins of adjustment of the market during the pandemic. Given the decline of real wages amid the post-pandemic inflationary surge, mainly due to the formal wage rigidity in the…
- Publicación |Abstract
Colombia is particularly affected by the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) weather fluctuations. In this context, this study explores how the adverse weather events linked to ENSO affect the inflation expectations in Colombia and how to incorporate these second-round effects into a…
- Publicación |Abstract
The covid-19 pandemic distorted the pattern of household consumption. Consequently, the official fixed basket CPI could be measuring inaccurately the evolution of inflation. The exercise presented in this document, was to update the weighting structure of the basket with alternative…
- Publicación |Abstract Given the importance of climate change and the increase of its severity under extreme weather events, we analyze the main drivers of high food prices in Colombia between 1985 and 2020 focusing on extreme weather shocks like a strong El Niño.We estimate a non-stationary extreme value…
- Publicación |Abstract
How much of the changes in the exchange rate is passed through to inflation is a question of main interest to the monetary authority, investors, the real sector, and the government itself.
- Publicación |Abstract This document offers an exercise that quantifies on the Colombia CPI the maximum possible impact in accounting terms of some price reliefs decreed by the national government. This impact would not necessarily coincide with the official CPI figures, due to the presence of multiple…
- Publicación |Abstract
fundamental task of the Banco de la República -Banrep- is to monitor inflation expectations, since these reflect the credibility of monetary policy. This document studies the formation of inflation expectations in Colombia from the information contained in surveys. Evidence suggests…
- Publicación |
The opinions contained in this document are the sole responsibility of the author and do not commit Banco de la República or its Board of Directors.
- Publicación |
The opinions contained in this document are the sole responsibility of the author and do not commit Banco de la República or its Board of Directors.
- Publicación |
The opinions contained in this document are the sole responsibility of the author and do not commit Banco de la República or its Board of Directors.
- Publicación |
The opinions contained in this document are the sole responsibility of the author and do not commit Banco de la República or its Board of Directors.
- Publicación |
The opinions contained in this document are the sole responsibility of the author and do not commit Banco de la República or its Board of Directors.
- Publicación |
The opinions contained in this document are the sole responsibility of the authors and do not commit Banco de la República or its Board of Directors
- Publicación |
Determining the exchange rate pass-through on inflation is a necessity for central banks as well as for firms and households. This is an apparently easy and intuitive task, but it faces high complexity and uncertainty. This paper examines the nature of the pass-through and quantifies…
- Publicación |
Inflation expectations in Colombia are characterized. Empirical evidence following conventional tests suggests that they might not be rational, although the period of disinflation included in the sample makes it difficult to ascertain this conclusion. Inflation expectations display close ties…
Monetary policy implications for an oil-exporting economy of lower long-run international oil prices
Publicación |The sudden collapse of oil prices poses a challenge to inflation targeting central banks in oil exporting economies. This paper illustrates that challenge and conducts a quantitative assessment of the impact of permanent changes in oil prices in a small and open economy, in which oil represents…